RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT
ENV 411
Spring 2002
Tuesday and Thursday, 10:00 to 11:15
Room: WHT 006
Professor David M. Hassenzahl, PhD
Office: MPE 125
Phone 895-4457
Email: david.hassenzahl@ccmail.nevada.edu
http://www.unlv.edu/faculty/dmh/
Office Hours: Tuesday and Thursday, 1:15 to 3:15
Friday 9:30 to 10:30
Or by appointment
This course is intended to teach a variety of methods for managing environmental risk problems. Students will develop a “toolbox” of basic risk analysis and management methods, as well as the appropriate role of these methods in effective public and private decision making. To this end, the course is divided into a section on risk analysis methods, and followed by exploration of the societal implications of those methods.
By the end of this course, students should understand the role of risk analysis as an approach to addressing complex environmental problems, and be able to manipulate models used for environmental regulations and decisions. Students will understand how information from risk assessments are interpreted by individuals interested in involved in all aspects of risk decision making. Students will learn to use models and other decision support methods to analyze environmental issues and contribute to management decisions. They will also learn how to identify technical and socioeconomic tradeoffs associated with diverse approaches to environmental management.
ENV 260 or basic statistics or consent of the instructor.
411 Schedule and calendar. Note: you should always do readings BEFORE class.
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Date |
Topic |
Readings |
Deliverables |
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Jan 22 |
Introduction, statistics screen, defining risk |
SWRI pp 1-16 |
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Jan 24 |
Public and societal decision making |
Readings TBA |
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Jan 29 |
Modeling |
SWRI pp 16-30 |
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Jan 31 |
How to read a paper |
Readings TBA |
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Feb 5 |
Statistics for Risk analysis |
SWRI Chapter 3 |
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Feb 7 |
Statistics |
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Feb 12 |
Discuss problem set 1 |
PS 1 due, start of class. Bring a copy! |
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Feb 14 |
Statistics for Risk analysis |
SWRI Chap 3 |
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Feb 19 |
Applied statistics |
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Feb 21 |
Understanding Uncertainty |
SWRI pp 122 - 128 |
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Feb 26 |
Discuss Problem Set 2 |
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Feb 28 |
Toxicology |
SWRI Chap 5 |
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Mar 5 |
Toxicology |
Cox paper Ä |
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Mar 7 |
Toxicology |
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Mar 12 |
Principles of Epidemiology |
SWRI Chap 6 |
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Mar 14 |
Epidemiology issues |
Readings TBA |
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Mar 19 |
Where Are We? |
PS 2 due start of class. Bring a copy! |
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Mar 21 |
Monte Carlo Analysis |
Chapter 4, Monte Carlo section |
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26 & 28 |
Spring Break! |
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Apr 2 |
Monte Carlo In Class Exercise |
(This is Problem Set 3) |
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Apr 4 |
Exposure Assessment I |
SWRI Chapter 7 |
Submit four potential problems, final version of PS 3 due |
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Apr 9 |
Exposure Assessment II |
Readings TBA |
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Apr 11 |
Ecological Risk Analysis |
Readings TBA |
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Apr 16 |
Technological risks |
Chapter 8 |
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Apr 18 |
Discuss problem set 4 |
PS 4 due start of class |
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Apr 23 |
Normal Accidents |
Readings TBA |
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Apr 25 |
Risk Perception |
SWRI Chap 10 |
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Apr 30 |
Risk Communication |
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May 2 |
Risk, Society and Trust |
Hassenzahl et al, handout |
Original problems due |
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May 7 |
Presentations |
Original problems sets |
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May 9 |
Presentations |
Original problem sets |
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May 16 |
Final Examination |
Ä Readings found at course web page
Required texts
Kammen and Hassenzahl (2001), Should We Risk It? Paperback Edition (Hardback OK), Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. (Called SWRI in schedule)
Additional readings as assigned
Recommended texts
Haimes, Yacov (1999), Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management. John Wiley and Sons, NY NY.
Morgan and Henrion (1990), Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, NY NY.
Krimsky and Golding (1992), Social Theories of Risk. Praeger Press, Boston MA.
Andrews (forthcoming), Humble Analysis (prepublication copy)
Grading: Your final grade will be calculated in the following manner:
A = 100 - 92%, A- = 91 - 90%, B+ = 88 - 89%, B = 87 - 82%, B- = 81 - 80%, C+ = 78 - 79%, C = 77 - 70%, C- = 69%, D+ = 68%, D = 67 - 60%, F = less than 60%
Disabilities: If you have a documented disability that may require assistance, you will need to go to the Disability Resource Center (DRC) for coordination of academic accommodations. The Disability Resource Center is located in the Reynolds Student Services Building room 137. The DRC phone number is 895-0866 (TDD-895-0652) or drcssc@ccmail.nevada.edu.
Attendance and Courtesy: Private student conversations during lecture disturb nearby students and undermine full class participation. I encourage you to participate in classroom activities by directing your comments and questions to your instructors. Students who insist on private conversations will be asked to leave. Similarly, students leaving during class time disrupt other students.
Withdrawals: Withdrawals from the course are possible through the date specified in the catalog. Until then you may drop with no questions asked. After that date, withdrawals are not permitted for any reason.
Incompletes: I will give an incomplete in the course if, for some reason beyond your control (hospitalization, death in the family) you cannot complete the course. Under no circumstances will you be given an incomplete because you are failing.
Web resources
WebCT is the main web resource for this class, although I will provide material at a separate web site as well. The WebCT site contains links to supplemental readings, assignments, and other relevant information. This service is meant to allow you access to information that you might have missed during the lecture, or to compare our notes with the notes you took during class. Please check the web site regularly for information and news. Note that I do not guarantee that everything covered in class will be posted on the website.
How can I do well in this course ?
Success in college, as in much of life, requires that you plan ahead. In college, planning requires that you are aware of your class schedules, and that your studying always prepares you for exams and assignments. I recommend that you pursue the following activities to be an active participant in your learning and to facilitate successful completion of your courses.
1) Obtain and fill out a calendar now. Assemble the schedule (syllabus) from each of your classes and enter important dates from each on the same calendar. Include the exam dates. This lets you know when to emphasize which class, day by day, week by week.
2) Read the assigned material before coming to class. Textbooks and readers should not be read like novels. When reading textbooks, emphasize the chapter outlines, headings and subheadings, material that is highlighted or enumerated, and figures. Read the summary, review questions, and key terms at the end of the chapter first. Next, skim through the chapter, reading only section headings and emphasized words. Then read lists, tables, and figures. Finally, read the chapter from start to finish. This reading method will take a few more minutes, but your comprehension and retention will be much better than with a straight read-through.
3) Attend every class meeting. This cannot be overemphasized. Take copious notes. Some students respond to the lack of roll call in college with sporadic attendance. Such action is academically suicidal. There is too much material in the textbook for everything to be on an exam; therefore, you must learn what the instructor=s emphasis is. You can only ascertain this by attending every lecture and taking down as much of the information presented in the lecture as possible.
4) Recopy your notes. If your note-taking is anything like mine, your notes will likely be a little disorganized, sloppy and incomplete. It is very important that, as soon as possible, you sit down and recopy the in-class notes into a neater, more comprehensible format for later study. Use the text and notes on the internet as a reference to aid in rewriting lecture notes after class. Save your original notes for reference or emergencies, but study from your neat notes. Reorganization of notes is greatly facilitated by a computer, but rewriting by hand is also effective. Both sets should be stored safely in a binder or on a disc.
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