RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT

ENV 711

Spring 2002

Tuesday and Thursday, 4:00 to 5:15

Room: WHT 006

Professor David M. Hassenzahl, PhD

Office: MPE 125

Phone 895-4457

Email: david.hassenzahl@ccmail.nevada.edu

http://www.unlv.edu/faculty/dmh/

Office Hours:

Tuesday and Thursday, 1:15 to 3:15

Friday 9:30 to 10:30

Or by appointment

Text:

Kammen and Hassenzahl (2001), Should We Risk It? Paperback edition (Hardback OK) Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.

Finkel, Adam (1990), A Manager’s Guide to Uncertainty. RFF out of print, available from instructor.

Suggested Resources

Haimes, Yacov (1999), Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management.  John Wiley and Sons, NY NY.

Morgan and Henrion (1990), Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, NY NY.

Ottoboni The Dose Makes the Poison

Gots (1993) Toxics:

Course Overview:

The purpose of this course is to help students develop a “toolbox” of risk analysis and management methods, and understand the appropriate role of these methods in effective public and private decision-making. 

Note: this syllabus is subject to change.  Any changes will be given during class time and posted on the class web page.


                                             711 CLASS SCHEDULE

Date

Topic

Readings and assignments

     

Tuesday

Jan 22

Logistics

Introduction to Risk Analysis

Statistics screening exam*

SWRI Chapter 1

Thursday

Jan 24

Risk Analysis: an overview

What and why?

Glickman and Gough paper

Tuesday

Jan 29

Statistics Review

SWRI Chapter 3

PS One Distributed

Thursday

Jan 31

How to read a paper

2 papers handed out

Tuesday

Feb 5

Basic Modeling: Stocks and Flows

Class project topic brainstorm

SWRI Chapter 2

Thursday

Feb 7

Basic Modeling: Dose and response

Class project topic brainstorm

 

Tuesday

Feb 12

Uncertainty

SWRI Chapter 4 (read first part, skim Monte Carlo and Bayesian sections)

Thursday

Feb 14

Uncertainty continued

Finkel Chapters

Select project topics and groups

Tuesday

Feb 19

Discuss problem set one, uncertainty continued

PS One due

PS Two distributed

Thursday

Feb 21

Health Risk Assessment: Toxicology

SWRI Chapter 5

Tuesday

Feb 26

Continued

Cox reading (see website)

Thursday

Feb 28

Bootstrapping (at computers)

 

 

Tuesday

Mar 5

Health Risk Assessment: Epidemiology

SWRI Chapter 6 and handouts

Thursday

Mar 7

Continued

Readings TBA

Tuesday

Mar 12

Health Risk Assessment: Exposure Assessment

 

SWRI Chapter 7

Thursday

Mar 14

Continued

Readings TBA

Tuesday

Mar 19

Discuss problem set three

Problem Set 3 due

Thursday

Mar 21

Monte Carlo Analysis

SWRI pages 142-151, 241- 247, 318-326

Tuesday

Mar 26

Spring Break

 

Thursday

Mar 28

Spring Break

 

Tuesday

Apr 2

Monte Carlo practicum (Problem Set 3)

Project scoping document due

Thursday

Apr 4

Technological Risk Assessment

SWRI Chapter 8

Tuesday

Apr 9

Continued

Problem Set Three

Perrow, Chapter 1

Thursday

Apr 11

Ecological Risk Assessment

 

Readings TBA (on-line)

Tuesday

Apr 16

Continued

 

Thursday

Apr 18

Decision Making

SWRI Chapter 9

Original problems due

Tuesday

Apr 23

Class project work day

 

Thursday

Apr 25

Decision Making Continued

Readings TBA

Tuesday

Apr 30

Project work day

 

Thursday

May 2

Semester recap

Readings TBA

Tuesday

May 7

Project Presentations

Class Project Executive Summaries Due

Thursday

May 9

Project Presentations

 

We must meet at the final exam time.  With the prior agreement of all class members, I would like to move the time to an early evening, when we will meet at my home to discuss important risk issues.

* Your score on the screening exam will have NO impact on your grade in the class.  It is an assessment exam to help me structure the rest of the course.


                                                              CLASS POLICIES

Grading:  Your final grade will be calculated in the following manner:

A = 100 - 92%, A- = 91 - 90%, B+ = 88 - 89%, B = 87 - 82%, B- = 81 - 80%, C+ = 78 - 79%, C = 77 - 70%, C- = 69%, D+ = 68%, D = 67 - 60%, F = less than 60%

Disabilities: If you have a documented disability that may require assistance, you will need to go to the Disability Resource Center (DRC) for coordination of academic accommodations.  The Disability Resource Center is located in the Reynolds Student Services Building room 137.  The DRC phone number is 895-0866 (TDD-895-0652) or drcssc@ccmail.nevada.edu.

Copyright and fair use requirements

The university requires each member of the University Community to become familiar with and follow copyright and fair use requirements.  You are individually and solely responsible for violations of copyright and fair use laws.  The University will neither protect nor defend you nor assume any responsibility for employee or student violations of copyright or fair use laws.  Violations of copyright laws could subject you to federal and state civil penalties and criminal liabilities as well as disciplinary action under University policies.  To help familiarize yourself with copyright and fair use policies, the University encourages you to visit its copyright web page at:

http://www.unlv.edu/committees/copyright


This Syllabus Copyright 2002, David M. Hassenzahl