RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT
ENV 711
Spring 2002
Tuesday and Thursday, 4:00 to 5:15
Room: WHT 006
Professor David M. Hassenzahl, PhD
Office: MPE 125
Phone 895-4457
Email: david.hassenzahl@ccmail.nevada.edu
http://www.unlv.edu/faculty/dmh/
Office Hours:
Tuesday and Thursday, 1:15 to 3:15
Friday 9:30 to 10:30
Or by appointment
Text:
Kammen and Hassenzahl (2001), Should We Risk It? Paperback edition (Hardback OK) Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Finkel, Adam (1990), A Manager’s Guide to Uncertainty. RFF out of print, available from instructor.
Suggested Resources
Haimes, Yacov (1999), Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management. John Wiley and Sons, NY NY.
Morgan and Henrion (1990), Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, NY NY.
Ottoboni The Dose Makes the Poison
Gots (1993) Toxics:
Course Overview:
The purpose of this course is to help students develop a “toolbox” of risk analysis and management methods, and understand the appropriate role of these methods in effective public and private decision-making.
Note: this syllabus is subject to change. Any changes will be given during class time and posted on the class web page.
711 CLASS SCHEDULE
|
Date |
Topic |
Readings and assignments |
|
Tuesday Jan 22 |
Logistics Introduction to Risk Analysis Statistics screening exam* |
SWRI Chapter 1 |
|
Thursday Jan 24 |
Risk Analysis: an overview What and why? |
Glickman and Gough paper |
|
Tuesday Jan 29 |
Statistics Review |
SWRI Chapter 3 PS One Distributed |
|
Thursday Jan 31 |
How to read a paper |
2 papers handed out |
|
Tuesday Feb 5 |
Basic Modeling: Stocks and Flows Class project topic brainstorm |
SWRI Chapter 2 |
|
Thursday Feb 7 |
Basic Modeling: Dose and response Class project topic brainstorm |
|
|
Tuesday Feb 12 |
Uncertainty |
SWRI Chapter 4 (read first part, skim Monte Carlo and Bayesian sections) |
|
Thursday Feb 14 |
Uncertainty continued |
Finkel ChaptersSelect project topics and groups |
|
Tuesday Feb 19 |
Discuss problem set one, uncertainty continued |
PS One duePS Two distributed |
|
Thursday Feb 21 |
Health Risk Assessment: Toxicology |
SWRI Chapter 5 |
|
Tuesday Feb 26 |
Continued |
Cox reading (see website) |
|
Thursday Feb 28 |
Bootstrapping (at computers) |
|
|
Tuesday Mar 5 |
Health Risk Assessment: Epidemiology |
SWRI Chapter 6 and handouts |
|
Thursday Mar 7 |
Continued |
Readings TBA |
|
Tuesday Mar 12 |
Health Risk Assessment: Exposure Assessment |
SWRI Chapter 7 |
|
Thursday Mar 14 |
Continued |
Readings TBA |
|
Tuesday Mar 19 |
Discuss problem set three |
Problem Set 3 due |
|
Thursday Mar 21 |
Monte Carlo Analysis |
SWRI pages 142-151, 241- 247, 318-326 |
|
Tuesday Mar 26 |
Spring Break |
|
|
Thursday Mar 28 |
Spring Break |
|
|
Tuesday Apr 2 |
Monte Carlo practicum (Problem Set 3) |
Project scoping document due |
|
Thursday Apr 4 |
Technological Risk Assessment |
SWRI Chapter 8 |
|
Tuesday Apr 9 |
Continued |
Problem Set Three Perrow, Chapter 1 |
|
Thursday Apr 11 |
Ecological Risk Assessment |
Readings TBA (on-line) |
|
Tuesday Apr 16 |
Continued |
|
|
Thursday Apr 18 |
Decision Making |
SWRI Chapter 9Original problems due |
|
Tuesday Apr 23 |
Class project work day |
|
|
Thursday Apr 25 |
Decision Making Continued |
Readings TBA |
|
Tuesday Apr 30 |
Project work day |
|
|
Thursday May 2 |
Semester recap |
Readings TBA |
|
Tuesday May 7 |
Project Presentations |
Class Project Executive Summaries Due |
|
Thursday May 9 |
Project Presentations |
|
We must meet at the final exam time. With the prior agreement of all class members, I would like to move the time to an early evening, when we will meet at my home to discuss important risk issues. |
|
* Your score on the screening exam will have NO impact on your grade in the class. It is an assessment exam to help me structure the rest of the course. |
CLASS POLICIES
Grading: Your final grade will be calculated in the following manner:
A = 100 - 92%, A- = 91 - 90%, B+ = 88 - 89%, B = 87 - 82%, B- = 81 - 80%, C+ = 78 - 79%, C = 77 - 70%, C- = 69%, D+ = 68%, D = 67 - 60%, F = less than 60%
Disabilities: If you have a documented disability that may require assistance, you will need to go to the Disability Resource Center (DRC) for coordination of academic accommodations. The Disability Resource Center is located in the Reynolds Student Services Building room 137. The DRC phone number is 895-0866 (TDD-895-0652) or drcssc@ccmail.nevada.edu.
The university requires each member of the University Community to become familiar with and follow copyright and fair use requirements. You are individually and solely responsible for violations of copyright and fair use laws. The University will neither protect nor defend you nor assume any responsibility for employee or student violations of copyright or fair use laws. Violations of copyright laws could subject you to federal and state civil penalties and criminal liabilities as well as disciplinary action under University policies. To help familiarize yourself with copyright and fair use policies, the University encourages you to visit its copyright web page at:
http://www.unlv.edu/committees/copyright
This Syllabus Copyright 2002, David M. Hassenzahl